- 17 May 2007
- 177
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- Thread starter
- #176
Japan's Conspiracy (33-2)
Japan's Conspiracy (33-2)
=== Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics ===
This well-known saying is part of a phrase attributed to Benjamin Disraeli and popularized in the U.S. by Mark Twain: There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. The semi-ironic statement refers to the persuasive power of numbers, and succinctly describes how even accurate statistics can be used to bolster inaccurate arguments (See Note 1).
=== One Example ===
1. Smokers live longer than non-smokers.
This is really a problematic question. The more correctly we take statistics, the more untrue results come out.
Smokers in their 70s have higher rates of life expectancy than non-smokers in their 70s have.
It neither means that smokers become healthier nor that non-smokers become ill. The fact is quite opposite. Healthy people smoke more often than ill people. Ill people are often prohibited from smoking. They sometimes voluntarily refrain from smoking. Some of them are already bed-ridden. That's why statistics often fall short of expectations.
Human beings are animals not machines. Their behaviors can not be explained from single aspect. The same thing can be said about the natural phenomena.
2. That's why bean counters pick up convenient statistical results. Nobody knows the accuracy of such statistics other than themselves. But they themselves are often deceived by the statistical results.
=== It is natural that there is criticism against my opinion. ===
Specific counterarguments would be beyond the scope of this topic. I think you can know what is right in the internet. But I would like to show why I say that the Kyoto Protocol is wrong.
1. Governments and administrations in Japan often prepare distractions before they do bad things. For example, when the government plots crimes, they make gangsters commit crimes. They want citizens to watch the police arresting gangsters. They wish people would think the government is right and perfect.
One good example was the put-up fight between then-president Alberto Fujimori and the Tupac Amaru Revolutionary Movement in Peru (See Note 2). It was obvious that Fujimori used the guerillas in order to recover his popularity among Peruvians. The scenario may have been written by the Japanese government. The Kyoto Protocol was used to establish a public image of Japan as a developed nation on the environmental affairs before conducting weather terrorism.
2. Some famous professors and analysts have close relations with Japanese organizations. Some of them were already revealed that they received bribes from Japanese organizations. Even in the Internet, some sites are too much pro-Japanese. So far, Japan's campaign seems to have been successful.
3. Weather manipulation and weather terrorism in Japan are unpardonable. Such a country can abuse the international agreement but will never use it for world peace.
-----------(Note 1)----------------------------
Lies, damned lies, and statistics
Lies, damned lies, and statistics - Wikipedia
------------(Note 2)----------------------------
Japanese embassy hostage crisis
Japanese embassy hostage crisis - Wikipedia
------------------------------------------------
Japan's Conspiracy (33-2)
=== Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics ===
This well-known saying is part of a phrase attributed to Benjamin Disraeli and popularized in the U.S. by Mark Twain: There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. The semi-ironic statement refers to the persuasive power of numbers, and succinctly describes how even accurate statistics can be used to bolster inaccurate arguments (See Note 1).
=== One Example ===
1. Smokers live longer than non-smokers.
This is really a problematic question. The more correctly we take statistics, the more untrue results come out.
Smokers in their 70s have higher rates of life expectancy than non-smokers in their 70s have.
It neither means that smokers become healthier nor that non-smokers become ill. The fact is quite opposite. Healthy people smoke more often than ill people. Ill people are often prohibited from smoking. They sometimes voluntarily refrain from smoking. Some of them are already bed-ridden. That's why statistics often fall short of expectations.
Human beings are animals not machines. Their behaviors can not be explained from single aspect. The same thing can be said about the natural phenomena.
2. That's why bean counters pick up convenient statistical results. Nobody knows the accuracy of such statistics other than themselves. But they themselves are often deceived by the statistical results.
=== It is natural that there is criticism against my opinion. ===
Specific counterarguments would be beyond the scope of this topic. I think you can know what is right in the internet. But I would like to show why I say that the Kyoto Protocol is wrong.
1. Governments and administrations in Japan often prepare distractions before they do bad things. For example, when the government plots crimes, they make gangsters commit crimes. They want citizens to watch the police arresting gangsters. They wish people would think the government is right and perfect.
One good example was the put-up fight between then-president Alberto Fujimori and the Tupac Amaru Revolutionary Movement in Peru (See Note 2). It was obvious that Fujimori used the guerillas in order to recover his popularity among Peruvians. The scenario may have been written by the Japanese government. The Kyoto Protocol was used to establish a public image of Japan as a developed nation on the environmental affairs before conducting weather terrorism.
2. Some famous professors and analysts have close relations with Japanese organizations. Some of them were already revealed that they received bribes from Japanese organizations. Even in the Internet, some sites are too much pro-Japanese. So far, Japan's campaign seems to have been successful.
3. Weather manipulation and weather terrorism in Japan are unpardonable. Such a country can abuse the international agreement but will never use it for world peace.
-----------(Note 1)----------------------------
Lies, damned lies, and statistics
Lies, damned lies, and statistics - Wikipedia
------------(Note 2)----------------------------
Japanese embassy hostage crisis
Japanese embassy hostage crisis - Wikipedia
------------------------------------------------