Yesterday I checked the MEXT budget posted on the MEXT website of 予算・決算、年次報告、税制:文部科学省 and I noticed something surprising which I guess might be important for us to notice here.
According to the budgets, for year 2010, there are 12,074 MEXT scholarship students and the budget allocated to the scholarship is 21,7 billion JPY. While for the year 2011, there will be 10,656 MEXT scholarship students and the budgets allocated will be reduced to 19.7 billion JPY.
Let's have a rough estimation about these numbers. Because in the last ten years, the MEXT scholarship has been reduced for a few times from the initial 180 thousands per month to 152 thousands per month with arrival allowance cut and others. In 2010, the average money located to each MEXT students will be 217/12074 = 0.01797 billion JPY. In 2011, the average money will be 197/10656 = 0.01848 billion JPY. 0.01848 is like 2% increase compared with 0.01797, which might be good news that the MEXT scholarship for 2011 might have a 3 thousand JPY increase per month, though no that big amount.
But for the number of MEXT students, there are 11,854 in 2007, 11,974 in 2008, 12305 in 2009, 12074 in 2010, and will be 10656 in 2011. There isn't a change larger than 350 people in the past years, but in the next year, there will be a reduction of around 1,400 people. This actually scares me a lot. How comes there will be such a reduction in the number of MEXT students in 2011? It might happen to be that a large part of the current MEXT students will be graduated until April 2011. But normally, the number of students graduated per year shouldn't vary that much among each year. And if it's not the reason, then, there might be a big change in the number of MEXT scholarship students they will admit for next year. (Or because of both reasons.)
Anyway, it seems like it wil bel a much higher chance for the year 2011 that they will reject someone who has passed the first embassy recommendation, because as far as I know, the embassies are recommending students not less than the number of the students they recommended last year.
I hope it woudn't be that bad and it's just my logics (but the number I given is true). But I think I should just post the thread here for everbody to have a look.
According to the budgets, for year 2010, there are 12,074 MEXT scholarship students and the budget allocated to the scholarship is 21,7 billion JPY. While for the year 2011, there will be 10,656 MEXT scholarship students and the budgets allocated will be reduced to 19.7 billion JPY.
Let's have a rough estimation about these numbers. Because in the last ten years, the MEXT scholarship has been reduced for a few times from the initial 180 thousands per month to 152 thousands per month with arrival allowance cut and others. In 2010, the average money located to each MEXT students will be 217/12074 = 0.01797 billion JPY. In 2011, the average money will be 197/10656 = 0.01848 billion JPY. 0.01848 is like 2% increase compared with 0.01797, which might be good news that the MEXT scholarship for 2011 might have a 3 thousand JPY increase per month, though no that big amount.
But for the number of MEXT students, there are 11,854 in 2007, 11,974 in 2008, 12305 in 2009, 12074 in 2010, and will be 10656 in 2011. There isn't a change larger than 350 people in the past years, but in the next year, there will be a reduction of around 1,400 people. This actually scares me a lot. How comes there will be such a reduction in the number of MEXT students in 2011? It might happen to be that a large part of the current MEXT students will be graduated until April 2011. But normally, the number of students graduated per year shouldn't vary that much among each year. And if it's not the reason, then, there might be a big change in the number of MEXT scholarship students they will admit for next year. (Or because of both reasons.)
Anyway, it seems like it wil bel a much higher chance for the year 2011 that they will reject someone who has passed the first embassy recommendation, because as far as I know, the embassies are recommending students not less than the number of the students they recommended last year.
I hope it woudn't be that bad and it's just my logics (but the number I given is true). But I think I should just post the thread here for everbody to have a look.