"In the 1930s, we saw juhyō five to six metres across," Yanagisawa says. "By the postwar decades, they were often two to three metres. Since 2019, many are half a metre or less. Some are barely columns." The cause is twofold, says Yanagisawa: a warming climate and a forest under attack. The host tree, Aomori todomatsu, suffered a moth outbreak in 2013 that stripped its needles. Bark beetles followed in 2015, boring into weakened trunks. Yamagata officials report that around 23,000 firs, about a fifth of the prefectural side's stands, have died. With fewer branches and leaves, there is little surface for snow and ice to cling to. Another 2019 study found that in nearby Yamagata City, average temperatures from December to March have risen by about 2 °C over the past 120 years. The lower altitude limit of the juhyō formation has shifted upward in step with this warming, it found, while the juhyō also lasts for fewer days of the year.