- 14 Mar 2002
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Europe as a negative example: Japan is preparing for a future where foreign residents could comprise more than 10% of its population, on par with major Western countries. According to the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, this mark may be reached by 2070, but it is more likely to be achieved much sooner than that.
Japan is preparing for a significant overhaul of its immigration policies as projections suggest foreign residents could make up more than 10% of the population by mid-century. A report by Justice Minister Suzuki Keisuke warns that without careful planning, the country could face social friction similar to that seen in Europe, and calls for a government-wide approach to manage both new arrivals and their integration. Officials emphasise that successful integration will be crucial to maintaining social cohesion while accommodating a growing and increasingly diverse population.
The report warns that "as the proportion of foreign nationals increases, their impact on Japanese society will grow, and various challenges may become apparent in a complex manner."
According to the 2024 International Migration Outlook report from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), immigrants accounted for 2.5% of Japan's total population in 2023. This figure was 13.8% in France, 15.2% in the United Kingdom, and 18.2% in Germany. Japan counted foreign nationals in this data, while the other nations counted those born abroad. Some European countries with immigrant ratios above 10% now face growing social divides. Suzuki stated at a July lecture at the Japan National Press Club in Tokyo, "By around 2040, we must be prepared for the possibility that foreign nationals may exceed 10% of Japan's population."
Japan is preparing for a significant overhaul of its immigration policies as projections suggest foreign residents could make up more than 10% of the population by mid-century. A report by Justice Minister Suzuki Keisuke warns that without careful planning, the country could face social friction similar to that seen in Europe, and calls for a government-wide approach to manage both new arrivals and their integration. Officials emphasise that successful integration will be crucial to maintaining social cohesion while accommodating a growing and increasingly diverse population.
Suzuki took office in autumn 2024, coinciding with growing reports of tension between the Kurdish community and Japanese residents in Kawaguchi, Saitama Prefecture. This sparked harsh statements on social media, including calls for Kurds to "leave Japan." Shortly after assuming his post, Suzuki dispatched young politicians to Kawaguchi to observe the situation firsthand. Then, determined to prevent the kind of social division and political chaos seen in Europe, Suzuki launched a study group in February of this year. Consulting about 10 immigration experts and coordinating with relevant ministries and the Cabinet Office, Suzuki and his team spent six months developing the latest report.
The report warns that "as the proportion of foreign nationals increases, their impact on Japanese society will grow, and various challenges may become apparent in a complex manner."
According to the 2024 International Migration Outlook report from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), immigrants accounted for 2.5% of Japan's total population in 2023. This figure was 13.8% in France, 15.2% in the United Kingdom, and 18.2% in Germany. Japan counted foreign nationals in this data, while the other nations counted those born abroad. Some European countries with immigrant ratios above 10% now face growing social divides. Suzuki stated at a July lecture at the Japan National Press Club in Tokyo, "By around 2040, we must be prepared for the possibility that foreign nationals may exceed 10% of Japan's population."