Declining population numbers, (県 and 府)

johnnyG

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This chart... (would like to provide a source, but this is something my wife forwarded along)

14894986182992.jpg
 
Are these the predictions for the following 10 years or what has happened in the last 10 years?
 
Past ten years is my supposition.
 
I find the figures hard to believe.

First, taking a rough average (and noting that the more populous prefectures have had smaller losses), you'd get a population loss of 5 to 10%, which is not borne out by other population statistics - the population in Japan is currently a couple of percent below its peak, which was somewhere around 2009.
Second, take a look at the figure for Akita. Assuming that some babies were born in Akita in the last ten years, then over a quarter of the population has died or moved out of the prefecture in the last 10 years. Even with a population as old as rural Japan you wouldn't expect a quarter of the population to die in 10 years, and if they have moved, where have they moved? All the other prefectures apart from Tokyo are showing population losses.
 
Flash: She says this is kids under 15.

Sorry, I should have explored for that and any other details before posting this.
Then the figures make a lot more sense!
 
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