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Declining population numbers, (県 and 府)

johnnyG

Sempai
Donor
23 Dec 2010
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This chart... (would like to provide a source, but this is something my wife forwarded along)

14894986182992.jpg
 
Are these the predictions for the following 10 years or what has happened in the last 10 years?
 
I find the figures hard to believe.

First, taking a rough average (and noting that the more populous prefectures have had smaller losses), you'd get a population loss of 5 to 10%, which is not borne out by other population statistics - the population in Japan is currently a couple of percent below its peak, which was somewhere around 2009.
Second, take a look at the figure for Akita. Assuming that some babies were born in Akita in the last ten years, then over a quarter of the population has died or moved out of the prefecture in the last 10 years. Even with a population as old as rural Japan you wouldn't expect a quarter of the population to die in 10 years, and if they have moved, where have they moved? All the other prefectures apart from Tokyo are showing population losses.
 
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