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Economy The weakening of the yen

Biden just said he will defend Taiwan if China invades. I wonder if this will lower the yen back to about 102 yen a dollar.
 
Didn't he say that weeks ago? It seems like a non-issue in terms of its influence on the yen/dollar exchange rate. The current weakness has more to do with the Fed increasing rates, and the Bank of Japan maintaining its historically low rates. It means the US$ is super attractive and the JPY looks like a dog. So, people are dumping the yen in favor of other assets. The world is awash in yen, and there are not many buyers for it.

This could change in the wink of an eye. Recall the 2011 Eastern Japan Eartquake and tsunami resulted in a huge demand for yen, because the government began a massive program of rebuilding the area that was affected by the earthquake (which stretched down the east coast of Japan to Tokyo). Contractors needed to be paid in yen, so there was a huge surge in the demand for yen.
 
Here's the NYT once again explaining why the BOJ does not consider raising the interest rates to curb inflation and stop the free fall of the JPY.





Paywall alert:


And I hope it won't require another earthquake to increase demand for the JPY.
 
Apparently, there was another intervention at the weekend, but it didn't have a lasting effect: 145 on Monday morning, now back to 149.


 
Dang it, we are back to 140 today. I guess we need to look for cheaper hosting.



 
We're again way beyond 150…



Paywall alert:
 
Yeah, that inflation data means no interest rate cuts there, or at least not soon, and even if they do cut, then perhaps only one time or two, and not several times or more.

I guess the next wildcard is whether the BOJ will intervene, and how strongly/often.

One flip side may be that since the US economy is chugging right along, Japan's exports there should be good. The reverse of that would be a US recession and rate cuts, probably strengthening the yen, but a weaker US economy might mean the value of exports would drop.
 
I wouldn't mind if it stayed that way until after our yearly Japan trip. Last year was pretty awesome expense wise for the trip.
 
We're hosting in the US. Our hosting fees have increased by 85% since we signed up with our current provider in 2011. If 1 USD remains at levels of +150 JPY, we might have to consider cheaper options. Anyone speak Russian?
 
We're hosting in the US. Our hosting fees have increased by 85% since we signed up with our current provider in 2011. If 1 USD remains at levels of +150 JPY, we might have to consider cheaper options. Anyone speak Russian?
No cheap options in Japan?
 
He's not posting p#rn or bittorrrents...
True, I forgot the reason though but I thought I remember someone saying it's harder to host in Japan than the US for legal reasons, but I guess we'll have to hear from him the answer, because maybe it is just more expensive somehow
 
True, I forgot the reason though but I thought I remember someone saying it's harder to host in Japan than the US for legal reasons, but I guess we'll have to hear from him the answer, because maybe it is just more expensive somehow
The libel laws are stricter in Japan. I know that's one thing you have to be careful about.
 
He's not posting p#rn or bittorrrents...
No, but it's important to remember that Japan's take on copyright and defamation are decidedly at odds with western sensibilities.

While copyright law is almost identical in its basis to American & European copyright (all being based on the Berne convention) the precedents in Japan mean there is almost no recognition of fair use. I'm not sure if they have a parallel to the DMCA, but without one, publishers would be liable for the comments sections on their forums, so that would be an important question to resolve.

On the defamation side, the bar for defamation is much lower in Japan, and in particular, truth is not a defense to defamation in Japan. If you say true things and hurt a Japanese person or company as a result, you can be held liable.

Also, I don't believe there is any equivalent to the Anti-SLAPP laws in the US that can be used to get an early dismissal of frivolous suit.

Personally, I would not want to place a web site that comments on anything Japanese in Japan itself, it's just asking for trouble. Granted, litigation is far less common, but if it does come, it's going to be very hard to defend against.
 
Maybe that would increase site traffic and the additional ad revenue would help with the hosting costs.
True. But it would be a different ad network.
 
We have reached 152.


Yen Drops to Weakest Since 1990


I cannot believe this thread we had a few years ago.

 
I keep buying on this news and I keep losing money the lower it goes! It's got to come back doesn't it?
 
I keep buying on this news and I keep losing money the lower it goes! It's got to come back doesn't it?

I sincerely hope so. Otherwise, I might have to put our "Donate" button more prominently.
 
Will we ever be back to rates around 120 JPY??


 
At the rate US politicians are giving away money and going trillions in debt , our dollar may soon become worthless.
 
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