If China pulls this design off, I think its more likely that we'll see pebble-bed reactors as opposed to anything coming out of fusion tests. BThe key trick is a phenomenon known as Doppler broadening - the hotter atoms get, the more they spread apart, making it harder for an incoming neutron to strike a nucleus. In the dense core of a conventional reactor, the effect is marginal. But HTR-10's carefully designed geometry, low fuel density, and small size make for a very different story. In the event of a catastrophic cooling-system failure, instead of skyrocketing into a bad movie plot, the core temperature climbs to only about 1,600 degrees Celsius - comfortably below the balls' 2,000-plus-degree melting point - and then falls. This temperature ceiling makes HTR-10 what engineers privately call walk-away safe. As in, you can walk away from any situation and go have a pizza.
Just one of several main problems, unfortunately. My prediction is that Nuclear Fusion might pass the economic break-even point but it certainly won't be "Too cheap to meter".scotsboyuk said:Nuclear fusion has actually been achieved, but only for very brief periods of time. The main problem, as I understand it, is the containment of the plasma used to transfer the energy produced in the reaction.
*pfft* The phrase 'cold fusion' has at least two major interpretations.scotsboyuk said:A more interesting prospect is 'cold fusion', already rumoured to have been achieved by some researchers.
A great deal could be done with energy efficiency methods and existing alternative energy generation technology. Tidal and wave power is underdeveloped for its potential but solar energy and wind energy are quite advanced to the point where if oil prices go up a notch or two they start looking pretty attractive. The big problem is that when oil prices _do_ start going up and oil availability drops - how much notice will we have to change over? We're talking big infrastructure here and if we don't get ready early there'll be nasty times ahead.scotsboyuk said:It is perhaps not all that long before we do se emore exotic means of energy production become economical enough to at least suppliment traditional means.
Synthetic oil from coal dust just pushes the problem back a bit. It's still fossil fuel and it's still going to become less available and less economic given sufficient time. Synthetic oil also takes a big economic hit in comparison to current crude oil prices.scotsboyuk said:Synthetic oil could become a viable alternative to crude if demand is great enough.
How long are you planning on living?Kei_Shugojin said:Well, I'll just be optomistic and hope that the human race advances at an exponentially increasing rate like it has in the last hundred years and gets to the point of space colonization by the time I die.
You've got a better chance than me statistically ... but I'm not saying by how much.Kei_Shugojin said:well, I'm 17 now. So 17 + 40 is 57, right? I think I'll still be around then.