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COVID-19 Coronavirus: situation in Japan

It strikes me how quickly we've become used to this. According to Thomas's table, about 2000 people died from Covid in Japan last week, and it's become accepted as part of the background news. On a rather morbid note, the current estimate for the number of excess deaths for Japan is about 135,000. Note that the figure was negative for much of 2020 because elderly people weren't going out much, greatly reducing their chances of getting influenza, etc. Excess deaths is a more useful statistic than the raw number of deaths for measuring the impact of Covid because it takes into account 1) the fact that many of the people who died of Covid probably had low life expectancy because of their age and 2) the effect of Covid on the health system because of delayed operations, reduced quality of healthcare, etc., because of resources diverted to treating Covid patients.

Estimated cumulative excess deaths during COVID
 
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On the topic of getting used to the stats: I wish we had comparable data on influenza from the pre-Covid period.
 
I'm not sure that such data could be generated. It's relatively easy to compare mortality in a Covid world and a pre-Covid world but influenza has always been with us, so there is no influenza-free baseline for comparison.
 
The weekly updates (28 Dec 2022 - 03 Jan 2023):


Nationwide infections:

28/12 (Wed)29/12 (Thu)30/12 (Fri)31/12 (Sat)01/01 (Son)02/01 (Mon)03/01 (Tue)
216,209 (+ 15,103)
192,063 (+ 7,688)
148,784 (- 24,552)
107,465 (- 70,157)
86,924 (- 62,741)
76,264 (- 992)
89,643 (- 113,210)

Nationwide deaths:

28/12 (Wed)29/12 (Thu)30/12 (Fri)31/12 (Sat)01/01 (Son)02/01 (Mon)03/01 (Tue)
415 (+ 119)
420 (+ 81)
326 (+ 11)
292 (- 47)
247 (- 59)
208 (- 9)
223 (- 48)

Nationwide Seriously Ill:

28/12 (Wed)29/12 (Thu)30/12 (Fri)31/12 (Sat)01/01 (Son)02/01 (Mon)03/01 (Tue)
577 (+ 47)
565 (+ 20)
574 (+ 38)
530 (+ 48)
592 (+ 36)
595 (+ 32)
602 (+ 20)

Tokyo:

28/12 (Wed)29/12 (Thu)30/12 (Fri)31/12 (Sat)01/01 (Son)02/01 (Mon)03/01 (Tue)
20,243 (- 943)
18,372 (- 448)
14,525 (- 2,807)
18,731 (+ 1,759)
9,186 (- 6,217)
7,537 (- 891)
9,628 (- 12,435)


Vaccinations as of 5 Jan 2023:

292,950,019 292,760,075 (+ 189,944) = 83.1% of population
Third vaccination (booster): 85,262,832 85,123,339 (+ 139,493) = 67.7% of population
 
Thanks Thomas. Always appreciate the updates.
 
More green in the weekly updates, but the number of Covid-19-related deaths is increasing: Japan reported a single-day record of 498 deaths on 5 January, while highs for newly confirmed infections were set in twelve prefectures, mainly in western parts of the country.




Last December a record 7,688 people died from COVID-19, exceeding the previous monthly high of 7,329 logged in August in the last wave.

 
The weekly updates (4-10 January 2023). Sorry for the delay.


Nationwide infections:

04/01 (Wed)05/01 (Thu)06/01 (Fri)07/01 (Sat)08/01 (Son)09/01 (Mon)10/01 (Tue)
104,304 (- 111,905)
226,904 (+ 34,841)
245,542 (+ 96,758)
238,654 (+ 131,1897)
190,538 (+ 103,614)
95,308 (+ 19,044)
75,504 (- 14,139)

Nationwide deaths:

04/01 (Wed)05/01 (Thu)06/01 (Fri)07/01 (Sat)08/01 (Son)09/01 (Mon)10/01 (Tue)
218 (- 197)
334 (- 86)
456 (+ 130)
463 (+ 171)
407 (+ 160)
336 (+ 128)
253 (+ 30)

Nationwide Seriously Ill:

04/01 (Wed)05/01 (Thu)06/01 (Fri)07/01 (Sat)08/01 (Son)09/01 (Mon)10/01 (Tue)
615 (+ 38)
650 (+ 85)
659 (+ 85)
668 (+ 138)
671 (+ 79)
648 (+ 53)
656 (+ 54)

Tokyo:

04/01 (Wed)05/01 (Thu)06/01 (Fri)07/01 (Sat)08/01 (Son)09/01 (Mon)10/01 (Tue)
10,554 (- 9,689)
20,735 (+ 2,363)
20,720 (+ 6,195)
19,630 (+ 899)
15,124 (+ 5,938)
8,199 (+ 662)
7,462 (- 2,166)


Vaccinations as of 13 Jan 2023:

293,145,992 (+ 195,973) = 83.2% of population
Third vaccination (booster): 85,387,517 (+ 124,685) = 67.8% of population
 
Also, sadly today, Saturday, was the first time the death toll for a single day has topped 500.

 
Correction: according to Asahi, 520 people died on 11 January.



The eighth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic strains medical services: more cases but fewer worries.


 
How ever Covid came about , it seems to be so dangerous on how it keeps mutating and won't go away.

 
it seems to be so dangerous on how it keeps mutating and won't go away.
I have no reason to believe the rate of mutation is in any way odd for any corona virus. Seems standard. Corona viruses have always been with us and never truly went away, even if they usually seem to in spring.

As for the deaths, are these so excessive compared to any other year? Last year, at least in the U.S. if I remember correctly, flu deaths were way, way down. This is not because we mastered the flu, its just because people died from Covid instead....although I heard credible reports that covid deaths were over-accounted for for various reasons.

To be fair, I cannot say anything above is rock solid information. I am just saying that my view is very different on the current situation, but, I fear I am as factless as everyone else as far that goes.

I can accept that Covid has surely caused excessive deaths, but there are plenty of other things to worry about as well.
 
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The weekly updates (11-17 January 2023):


Nationwide infections:

11/01 (Wed)12/01 (Thu)13/01 (Fri)14/01 (Sat)15/01 (Son)16/01 (Mon)17/01 (Tue)
198,873 (+ 94,569)
185,472 (- 41,432)
144,077 (- 101,465)
132,071 (- 106,583)
108,281 (- 82,257)
54,378 (- 40,930)
126,989 (+ 51,485)

Nationwide deaths:

11/01 (Wed)12/01 (Thu)13/01 (Fri)14/01 (Sat)15/01 (Son)16/01 (Mon)17/01 (Tue)
381 (+ 163)
489 (+ 155)
480 (+ 24)
503 (+ 40)
415 (+ 8)
284 (- 52)
357 (+ 104)

Nationwide Seriously Ill:

11/01 (Wed)12/01 (Thu)13/01 (Fri)14/01 (Sat)15/01 (Son)16/01 (Mon)17/01 (Tue)
665 (+ 50)
697 (+ 47)
695 (+ 36)
693 (+ 25)
672 (+ 1)
687 (+ 39)
690 (+ 34)

Tokyo:

11/01 (Wed)12/01 (Thu)13/01 (Fri)14/01 (Sat)15/01 (Son)16/01 (Mon)17/01 (Tue)
16,772 (+ 6,218)
13,427 (- 7,308)
11,241 (- 9,479)
10,727 (- 8,903)
8,269 (- 6,855)
4,433 (- 3,766)
11,120 (+ 3,658)


Vaccinations as of 18 Jan 2023:

293,288,481 (+ 142,489) = 83.3% of population
Third vaccination (booster): 85,484,452 (+ 96,935) = 67.9% of population
 
The Japanese government is set to decide Friday whether to drop COVID-19 to its least serious category of infectious diseases this spring.




Paywall alert:
 
It's been decided: COVID-19 will be reclassified and put in the same category as seasonal flu as the government looks to focus on economic recovery. The change will take place in spring.


Paywall alert:


Officially unmasked indoors? Won't happen in Japan.
 
I go to Cosmos with no mask at night, though daytime i will wear it since the university students here are required. At the university library I take my mask off. The students still wear them while studying. Weird.
 
The weekly updates ( 18-24 January 2023):



Nationwide infections:

18/01 (Wed)19/01 (Thu)20/01 (Fri)21/01 (Sat)22/01 (Son)23/01 (Mon)24/01 (Tue)
125,108 (- 73,765)
96,392 (- 89,080)
82,614 (- 61,463)
78,954 (- 53,117)
64,450 (- 43,831)
32,571 (- 21,807)
81,535 (- 45,454)

Nationwide deaths:

18/01 (Wed)19/01 (Thu)20/01 (Fri)21/01 (Sat)22/01 (Son)23/01 (Mon)24/01 (Tue)
449 (+ 68)
451 (- 38)
425 (- 55)
398 (- 105)
326 (- 89)
253 (- 31)
307 (- 50)

Nationwide Seriously Ill:

18/01 (Wed)19/01 (Thu)20/01 (Fri)21/01 (Sat)22/01 (Son)23/01 (Mon)24/01 (Tue)
689 (+ 24)
681 (- 16)
673 (- 22)
683 (- 10)
671 (- 1)
644 (- 43)
638 (- 52)

Tokyo:

18/01 (Wed)19/01 (Thu)20/01 (Fri)21/01 (Sat)22/01 (Son)23/01 (Mon)24/01 (Tue)
9,187 (- 7,585)
7,719 (- 5,708)
6,603 (- 4,638)
6,607 (- 4,120)
5,110 (- 3,159)
2,677 (- 1,756)
7,306 (- 3,814)


Vaccinations as of 26 Jan 2023:

293,464,857 (+ 176,376) = 83.3% of population
Third vaccination (booster): 85,624,648 (+ 140,196) = 68.0% of population
 
Japan will officially downgrade COVID-19 to 'common infectious disease' on 8 May.


Paywall alert:
 
A sad record: while infection rates are declining, Japan's monthly COVID deaths top 10,000 for the first time.




 
Those deaths are really beginning to worry me.
In April, I'll start to cycle around Japan. I mentioned I'll probably go to Shikoku, but I also posted about Miyakojima and Hokkaido.
I did get as far as Toyama and got to Okinawa, but never got to the above.
As always, thanks for keeping us updated.
Wife is scheduled for her 5th booster soon.
 
The weekly updates (25-31 January 2023):


Nationwide infections:

25/01 (Wed)26/01 (Thu)27/01 (Fri)28/01 (Sat)29/01 (Son)30/01 (Mon)31/01 (Tue)
79,354 (- 45,754)
59,885 (- 36,507)
53,911 (- 28,703)
54,782 (- 24,172)
44,729 (- 19,721)
21,426 (- 11,145)
57,264 (- 24,271)

Nationwide deaths:

25/01 (Wed)26/01 (Thu)27/01 (Fri)28/01 (Sat)29/01 (Son)30/01 (Mon)31/01 (Tue)
368 (- 81)
410 (- 41)
343 (- 82)
338 (- 60)
251 (- 75)
206 (- 47)
246 (- 61)

Nationwide Seriously Ill:

25/01 (Wed)26/01 (Thu)27/01 (Fri)28/01 (Sat)29/01 (Son)30/01 (Mon)31/01 (Tue)
613 (- 76)
585 (- 96)
557 (- 116)
533 (- 150)
522 (- 149)
531 (- 113)
508 (- 130)

Tokyo:

25/01 (Wed)26/01 (Thu)27/01 (Fri)28/01 (Sat)29/01 (Son)30/01 (Mon)31/01 (Tue)
5,934 (- 3,253)
7,719 (- 5,708)
4,297 (- 2,306)
4,515 (- 2,092)
3,427 (- 1,683)
1,818 (- 859)
4,862 (- 2,444)


Vaccinations as of 31 Jan 2023:

293,579,655 (+ 114,798) = 83.4% of population
Third vaccination (booster): 85,712,321 (+ 87,673) = 68.1% of population
 
The weekly updates (01-07 Feb 2023):


Nationwide infections:

01/02 (Wed)02/02 (Thu)03/02 (Fri)04/02 (Sat)05/02 (Son)06/02 (Mon)07/02 (Tue)
55,537 (- 23,817)
45,299 (- 14,586)
39,924 (- 13,987)
38,581 (- 16,201)
32,459 (- 12,270)
15,612 (- 5,814)
41,438 (- 15,826)

Nationwide deaths:

01/02 (Wed)02/02 (Thu)03/02 (Fri)04/02 (Sat)05/02 (Son)06/02 (Mon)07/02 (Tue)
308 (- 60)
397 (- 13)
237 (- 106)
256 (- 82)
188 (- 63)
124 (- 82)
161 (- 85)

Nationwide Seriously Ill:

01/02 (Wed)02/02 (Thu)03/02 (Fri)04/02 (Sat)05/02 (Son)06/02 (Mon)07/02 (Tue)
496 (- 117)
475 (- 110)
440 (- 117)
424 (- 109)
405 (- 117)
406 (- 125)
410 (- 98)

Tokyo:

01/02 (Wed)02/02 (Thu)03/02 (Fri)04/02 (Sat)05/02 (Son)06/02 (Mon)07/02 (Tue)
4,012 (- 1,922)
3,502 (- 4,217)
2,941 (- 1,356)
2,992 (- 1,523)
2,287 (- 1,140)
1,105 (- 713)
3,131 (- 1,731)


Vaccinations as of 07 Feb 2023:

293,728,026 (+ 148,371) = 83.5% of population
Third vaccination (booster): 85,819,435 (+ 107,114) = 68.2% of population
 
The health ministry has decided to continue the free coronavirus vaccination program for all eligible from April. The next round of additional vaccinations is being coordinated to be offered in the fall or winter this year.


 
In this year's graduation ceremony throughout the nation, students will no longer have to wear masks, according to yesterday's statement by PM Kishida. Kishida said with necessary precautions implemented, such as air ventilation measures, students and teaching staff can attend graduation ceremonies without wearing a mask except when they sing the national anthem and other songs. The central government is expected to change its policy in mid-March and leave whether to wear a mask up to the individual.




 
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