- 14 Mar 2002
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This week Niall Ferguson, a well-known British historian, professor and TV personality, has published his hilarious views on what Europe will be like in 10 years from now:
2021, The new Europe, ten years after the great crisis of 2011.
The Brits have left the EU, the euro has been saved and Germany rules from the North Sea to the Mediterranean.
Here are the cornerstones of his visions:
So far, so entertaining. Or visionary. However, Mr Ferguson goes on to expand his views on what's about to happen to the Middle East.
Just satire driven by innate British Euro-angst, wishful thinking or is there more behind it?

2021, The new Europe, ten years after the great crisis of 2011.
The Brits have left the EU, the euro has been saved and Germany rules from the North Sea to the Mediterranean.
Here are the cornerstones of his visions:
- Altogether 10 European governments collapsed in 2011.
- The euro has been saved, but banknotes are no longer in circulation: they were replaced by electronic currency.
- Europe's HQ is no longer located in Brussels (a week symbol anyhow), but in Vienna, the heart of the former Habsburg Empire.
- Belgium btw has finally succumbed to separatist forces and split into a Flemish and a Wallon nation.
- The poorer south-European states (Italy, Spain, Greece, Portugal) suffer from a constant unemployment rate of 20 percent, but benefit from constant streams of subsidies from their northern neighbours. Southern Europeans work as maids and gardeners for rich Germans.
- Europe has merged into the USE, the United States of Europe.
- The euroskeptics have won in the UK, the Brits have left the EU/USE and now benefit greatly from direct Chinese foreign investment.
- The Scandinavian states - including oil-rich Norway - formed the Nordic League and left the EU/USE. Nevertheless, with Bosnia, Croatia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia, Flanders and Wallonia the total membership in the U.S.E. rose to 28.
So far, so entertaining. Or visionary. However, Mr Ferguson goes on to expand his views on what's about to happen to the Middle East.
- Israel will attack Iran's nuclear facilites in 2012.
- Iran counterattacked through its allies in Gaza and Lebanon.
- Turkey seized the moment to take the Iranian side, while at the same time repudiating Ataturk's separation of the Turkish state from Islam.
- The Muslim Brotherhood seized the reins of power in Egypt, repudiating its country's peace treaty with Israel.
- With Israel being entirely isolated, the United States of Europe intervened to prevent a desperate Israeli resort to nuclear arms.
Just satire driven by innate British Euro-angst, wishful thinking or is there more behind it?
