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COVID-19 Coronavirus: situation in Japan

Regarding the vaccination rollout, something I take heart from is that an American friend who is in his 70s and lives in Setagaya-ku, Tokyo, told me that the appointment for his first injection had suddenly been brought forward from July to next week.
 
My wife was saying a couple days ago, and has since seen similar comments online, that japan being carried into the olympics by its leadership is in some ways similar to japan being carried into the war.
 
Reservations here opened on the 15th of this month, I snagged a slot (for my first shot) this coming saturday, second shot time/date will be decided then. Tentative plan is for the 65+ group, which is a third of this prefecture's population, to be done by the end of june. Local paper says the next cohort, 60-64, will get shots in july.
 
My wife was saying a couple days ago, and has since seen similar comments online, that japan being carried into the olympics by its leadership is in some ways similar to japan being carried into the war.
The fact that the spectators are likely to be mainly made up of schoolkids is a particularly striking example of this.
 

Your prefecture reported a big new cluster today. Just out of curiosity, did they inform you on which vaccine they are going to use?
 
Yeah, the cluster, the main/only one I know of (x50?), is up the peninsula quite a ways, between Wajima and Anamizu (closer to the latter). It's at the aviation high school at the airport up that way, dorm living for students.

Pfizer/BioNTech, as far as I know. (now I'll be wondering if I should email my doc!! )
 
And the weekly updates:


Nationwide infections:

19/05 (Wed)20/05 (Thu)21/05 (Fri)22/05 (Sat)23/05 (Son)24/05 (Mon)25/05 (Tue)
5,819 (- 1,238)
5,721 (- 1,159)
5,253 (- 1,013)
5,040 (- 1,382)
4,048 (- 1,213)
2,712 (- 968)
3,900 (- 1,330)

Nationwide deaths - Seriously Ill:

19/05 (Wed)20/05 (Thu)21/05 (Fri)22/05 (Sat)23/05 (Son)24/05 (Mon)25/05 (Tue)
260 (+ 137) - 1,293 (+ 104)
89 (- 12) - 1,288 (+ 74)
106 (+ 16) - 1,294 (+ 85)
106 (- 4) - 1,303 (+ 72)
84 (- 14) - 1,304 (+ 81)
76 (+ 31) - 1,300 (+ 73)
92 (+ 9) - 1,294 (+ 59)

Infections in selected prefectures:

19/05 (Wed)20/05 (Thu)21/05 (Fri)22/05 (Sat)23/05 (Son)24/05 (Mon)25/05 (Tue)
Aichi
666 (- 13)
633 (+ 9)
597 (- 1)
616 (+ 20)
431 (- 91)
280 (- 82)
327 (- 212)
Chiba
132 (- 49)
114 (- 57)
168 (- 1)
126 (- 14)
84 (- 51)
82 (-46)
99 (+ 10)
Fukuoka
500 (- 135)
399 (- 103)
387 (- 85)
310 (- 212)
262 (- 243)
195 (- 87)
199 (- 147)
Hokkaido
604 (+ 75)
681 (- 31)
727 (+ 134)
658 (+ 92)
605 (+ 114)
366 (- 6)
459 (- 74)
Hyogo
242 (- 142)
209 (- 152)
162 (- 152)
229 (- 70)
111 (- 156)
86 (- 34)
139 (- 110)
Kanagawa
269 (- 50)
308 (- 29)
327 (- 13)
269 (- 59)
266 (- 30)
219 (+ 20)
200 (- 48)
Okinawa
203 (+ 94)
198 (+ 72)
207 (+ 73)
231 (+ 71)
156 (+ 78)
104 (+ 45)
256 (+ 88)
Osaka
477 (- 374)
501 (- 260)
415 (- 161)
406 (- 379)
274 (- 346)
216 (- 166)
327 (- 182)
Saitama
192 (- 67)
228 (- 61)
182 (- 75)
181 (- 65)
165 (- 51)
83 (- 52)
128 (- 58)
Tokyo
766 (- 203)
843 (- 167)
649 (- 205)
602 (- 170)
535 (- 7)
340 (- 79)
542 (- 190)

 
As expected, the Japanese government has extended the current state of emergency to 20 June in Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto, Hyogo, Aichi, Fukuoka, Hokkaido, Okayama and Hiroshima. Okinawa is already under the measure, while Saitama, Chiba, Kanagawa, Gifu and Mie are in pre-emergency measures, as are Gunma, Ishikawa and Kumamoto, where they expire on 13 June. Effectively, 75% of all Japanese prefectures are now under SoE.


Okinawa reported a record number of new infections:


 
The inoculation drive in Japan seems to pick up speed:

Tokyo and Osaka have set up mass vaccination centres that offer up to 15,000 inoculations a day. The two centres are run by Self-Defense Forces personnel and will operate for three months.


Once all medical personnel and people over 65 will have received their shots, vaccinations will be available to all at once:


According to a study by the National Cancer Center smokers seem to puff more during the pandemic than before, despite the heightened risk of catching a potentially fatal respiratory disease.



Two interesting studies regarding mask acceptance: according to researchers at Kyoto University the differences in cultural acceptance may be traced back to infancy and the way language is understood by watching the speaker's mouth or eyes.



Meanwhile, the MIT has found out that masks are most popular in countries with high collectivism.


 
And the weekly updates:


Nationwide infections:

26/05 (Wed)27/05 (Thu)28/05 (Fri)29/05 (Sat)30/05 (Son)31/05 (Mon)01/06 (Tue)
4,536 (- 1,283)
4,140 (- 1,581)
3,708 (- 1,545)
3,596 (- 1,444)
2,877 (- 1,171)
1,793 (- 919)
2,643 (- 1,257)

Nationwide deaths - Seriously Ill:

26/05 (Wed)27/05 (Thu)28/05 (Fri)29/05 (Sat)30/05 (Son)31/05 (Mon)01/06 (Tue)
99 (- 161) - 1,413 1,293 (+ 120)
104 (+ 15) - 1,371 (+ 83)
113 (+ 7) - 1,375 (+ 81)
10 (- 1) - 1,383 (+ 80)
101 (+ 17) - 1,347 (+ 43)
47 (- 29) - 1,349 (+ 49)
91 (- 1) - 1,323 (+ 29)

Infections in selected prefectures:

26/05 (Wed)27/05 (Thu)28/05 (Fri)29/05 (Sat)30/05 (Son)31/05 (Mon)01/06 (Tue)
Aichi
445 (- 221)
394 (- 239)
383 (- 214)
347 (- 269)
305 (- 126)
145 (- 135)
305 (- 22)
Chiba
123 (- 9)
121 (+ 7)
119 (- 49)
100 (- 26)
89 (- 4)
82 (-46)
63 (- 36)
Fukuoka
211 (- 289)
179 (- 220)
192 (- 195)
190 (- 120)
152 (- 110)
66 (- 129)
81 (- 118)
Hokkaido
551 (- 53)
570 (- 111)
423 (- 304)
442 (- 216)
288 (- 317)
279 (- 87)
254 (- 205)
Hyogo
140 (- 102)
162 (- 47)
94 (- 68)
97 (- 132)
101 (- 10)
29 (- 57)
112 (- 27)
Kanagawa
225 (- 44)
227 (- 81)
260 (- 67)
258 (- 11)
233 (- 33)
139 (- 80)
159 (- 41)
Okinawa
302 (+ 99)
240 (+ 42)
313 (+ 106)
335 (+ 104)
271 (+ 115)
142 (+ 38)
223 (+ 33)
Osaka
331 (- 146)
309 (- 192)
290 (- 125)
216 (- 190)
197 (- 77)
98 (- 118)
201 (- 126)
Saitama
164 (- 28)
130 (- 98)
105 (- 77)
155 (- 26)
122 (- 43)
67 (- 16)
114 (- 14)
Tokyo
743 (- 23)
684 (- 159)
614 (- 35)
539 (- 63)
448 (- 87)
260 (- 80)
471 (- 71)

 
Those in Tokyo will find this interesting - the dates of the vaccination rollout for adults under 65 in the 23 wards.
 
On the NHK 7pm news broadcast last night (June 7; sorry, I don't have a link to the specific story), they did a quick interview with some expert who was talking about the vaccine rollout. They said that this process is like running a marathon, and that it is hard to stay motivated if you don't know how far away the finish line is. The point was to encourage the government to state clearly to the general public when those below the age of 65 could expect to get vaccinated.

I was also curious as to when Japan could achieve herd immunity, at least so that we wouldn't need to keep anticipating the next big wave of infections. I ran some scenarios, and came up with estimates in the 3-month to 9-month range. Here is a link to the details if you are interested.
 
Do they have a large group in Japan who will refuse the shot? Seems here in the US about 1/4 or 1/3 refuse to get it. Maine did really well till we hit about 50% vaccinated pretty fast and then it slowed way down.
 
Do they have a large group in Japan who will refuse the shot? Seems here in the US about 1/4 or 1/3 refuse to get it. Maine did really well till we hit about 50% vaccinated pretty fast and then it slowed way down.
There will always be some people who will refuse anything. Is it "a large group" in Japan? A year ago, I would have said, "yes," given the regular reporting about how reticent the Japanese population is with vaccines. But we just finished distributing the first dose to all physicians, and the official stats show that (as of yesterday) 101% of physicians have gotten that shot. Clearly, someone isn't very good at counting. But it does show, at least among doctors, that they understand the importance of protecting themselves and others by getting immunized.

Will the same hold true for those outside the medical community? I really wish I knew. Apart from occassional mentions about the reticence I referred to above, you don't see reports of people angrily warning about the dangers, or screaming that people should avoid the vaccines. It is definitely not like in the US, where there are entire populations who are very vocal about refusing the available vaccines. That being said, I do know one person personally in Japan who will not get the shot out of fear from side effects. Thankfully, herd immunity does not require 100% acceptance. But I do hope he represents a tiny minority.
 
The last few times I've been to Shibuya station (perhaps three times in the last 6-8 months), there have been "it's all a hoax!" protestors there (who I assume are also antivax) but I think it's mainly unease about new things and a lack of trust of authority that are driving Japanese reticence rather than boneheaded views.
 
Here are the weekly updates (Wed, 2 June - Tue, 8 June):


Nationwide infections:

[TABLE=full]
[TR]
[TH]02/06 (Wed)[/TH]
[TH]03/06 (Thu)[/TH]
[TH]04/06 (Fri)[/TH]
[TH]05/06 (Sat)[/TH]
[TH]06/06 (Son)[/TH]
[TH]07/06 (Mon)[/TH]
[TH]08/06 (Tue)[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
3,036 (- 1,500)
[/TD]

[TD]
2,831 (- 1,309)
[/TD]

[TD]
2,595 (- 1,113)
[/TD]

[TD]
2,652 (- 944)
[/TD]

[TD]
2,022 (- 855)
[/TD]

[TD]
1,278 (- 515)
[/TD]

[TD]
1,884 (- 759)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Nationwide deaths - Seriously Ill:

[TABLE=full]
[TR]
[TH]02/06 (Wed)[/TH]
[TH]03/06 (Thu)[/TH]
[TH]04/06 (Fri)[/TH]
[TH]05/06 (Sat)[/TH]
[TH]06/06 (Son)[/TH]
[TH]07/06 (Mon)[/TH]
[TH]08/06 (Tue)[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
92 (- 7) - 1,284(- 129)
[/TD]

[TD]
105 (+ 1) - 1,227 (- 144)
[/TD]

[TD]
119 (+ 6) - 1,198 (- 177)
[/TD]

[TD]
85 (- 20) - 1,157 (-226 )
[/TD]

[TD]
74 (- 27) - 1,131 (- 216)
[/TD]

[TD]
51 (+ 4) - 1,120 (- 229)
[/TD]

[TD]
99 (+ 8) - 1,099 1,323 (- 22)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Infections in selected prefectures:

[TABLE=full]
[TR]
[TH][/TH]

[TH]02/06 (Wed)[/TH]
[TH]03/06 (Thu)[/TH]
[TH]04/06 (Fri)[/TH]
[TH]05/06 (Sat)[/TH]
[TH]06/06 (Son)[/TH]
[TH]07/06 (Mon)[/TH]
[TH]08/06 (Tue)[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Aichi
[/TD]

[TD]
287 (- 158)
[/TD]

[TD]
288 (- 106)
[/TD]

[TD]
266 (- 117)
[/TD]

[TD]
218 (- 129)
[/TD]

[TD]
169 (- 136)
[/TD]

[TD]
97 (- 48)
[/TD]

[TD]
170 (- 135)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Chiba
[/TD]

[TD]
109 (- 14)
[/TD]

[TD]
99 (- 22)
[/TD]

[TD]
121 (+ 2)
[/TD]

[TD]
100 (- 26)
[/TD]

[TD]
89 (- 4)
[/TD]

[TD]
68 (-14)
[/TD]

[TD]
81 (+ 18)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Fukuoka
[/TD]

[TD]
116 (- 95)
[/TD]

[TD]
102 (- 77)
[/TD]

[TD]
79 (- 113)
[/TD]

[TD]
85 (- 105)
[/TD]

[TD]
79 (- 73)
[/TD]

[TD]
27 (- 39)
[/TD]

[TD]
57 (- 24)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Hokkaido
[/TD]

[TD]
317 (- 234)
[/TD]

[TD]
300 (- 270)
[/TD]

[TD]
203 (- 220)
[/TD]

[TD]
81 (- 195)
[/TD]

[TD]
183 (- 105)
[/TD]

[TD]
147 (- 132)
[/TD]

[TD]
120 (- 134)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Hyogo
[/TD]

[TD]
104 (- 36)
[/TD]

[TD]
70 (- 92)
[/TD]

[TD]
75 (- 19)
[/TD]

[TD]
97 (- 132)
[/TD]

[TD]
58 (- 43)
[/TD]

[TD]
22 (- 7)
[/TD]

[TD]
68 (- 44)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Kanagawa
[/TD]

[TD]
218 (- 7)
[/TD]

[TD]
215 (- 12)
[/TD]

[TD]
234 (- 26)
[/TD]

[TD]
224 (- 34)
[/TD]

[TD]
249 (+ 16)
[/TD]

[TD]
173 (+ 34)
[/TD]

[TD]
179 (+ 20)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Okinawa
[/TD]

[TD]
297 (- 5)
[/TD]

[TD]
244 (+ 4)
[/TD]

[TD]
247 (- 66)
[/TD]

[TD]
261 (- 74)
[/TD]

[TD]
183 (- 88)
[/TD]

[TD]
104 (- 38)
[/TD]

[TD]
159 (- 64)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Osaka
[/TD]

[TD]
213 (- 118)
[/TD]

[TD]
226 (- 83)
[/TD]

[TD]
189 (- 101)
[/TD]

[TD]
174 (- 42)
[/TD]

[TD]
145 (- 52)
[/TD]

[TD]
72 (- 26)
[/TD]

[TD]
190 (- 11)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Saitama
[/TD]

[TD]
132 (- 32)
[/TD]

[TD]
122 (- 8)
[/TD]

[TD]
102 (- 3)
[/TD]

[TD]
119 (- 36)
[/TD]

[TD]
81 (- 41)
[/TD]

[TD]
44 (- 23)
[/TD]

[TD]
83 (- 31)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Tokyo
[/TD]

[TD]
487 (- 256)
[/TD]

[TD]
508 (- 176)
[/TD]

[TD]
472 (- 145)
[/TD]

[TD]
436 (- 103)
[/TD]

[TD]
351 (- 97)
[/TD]

[TD]
235 (- 25)
[/TD]

[TD]
369 (- 102)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 
The Japanese government *considers* a new law to order hospitals to admit COVID-19 patients.



The summer forecasts don't look good - with our without the Games.


Japan Risks Another Covid Surge With or Without Olympics - Bloomberg


 
At least the Olympics will give them a convenient scapegoat to blame any surges on.
 
If you are under 65, live in either Tokyo or Osaka, and want to get vaccinated you might be in luck: both cities will start mass vaccinations of people aged 18-64 on Thursday due to a large number of vaccination slots available (in Tokyo, 87,000 out of 120,000, 33,000 out of 60,000 slots in Osaka).


 
The weekly updates:


Nationwide infections:

[TABLE=full]
[TR]
[TH]09/06 (Wed)[/TH]
[TH]10/06 (Thu)[/TH]
[TH]11/06 (Fri)[/TH]
[TH]12/06 (Sat)[/TH]
[TH]13/06 (Son)[/TH]
[TH]14/06 (Mon)[/TH]
[TH]15/06 (Tue)[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
2,242 (- 794)
[/TD]

[TD]
2,044 (- 787)
[/TD]

[TD]
1,935 (- 660)
[/TD]

[TD]
1,944 (- 708)
[/TD]

[TD]
1,387 (- 635)
[/TD]

[TD]
936 (- 342)
[/TD]

[TD]
1,418 (- 466)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Nationwide deaths - Seriously Ill:

[TABLE=full]
[TR]
[TH]09/06 (Wed)[/TH]
[TH]10/06 (Thu)[/TH]
[TH]11/06 (Fri)[/TH]
[TH]12/06 (Sat)[/TH]
[TH]13/06 (Son)[/TH]
[TH]14/06 (Mon)[/TH]
[TH]15/06 (Tue)[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
98 (+ 6) - 1,055 (- 229)
[/TD]

[TD]
98 (- 7) - 1,015 (- 212)
[/TD]

[TD]
66 (- 53) - 942 (- 256)
[/TD]

[TD]
69 (- 16) - 890 (-267 )
[/TD]

[TD]
56 (- 18) - 852 (- 279)
[/TD]

[TD]
38 (- 13) - 849 (- 271)
[/TD]

[TD]
67 (- 32) - 827 (- 272)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Infections in selected prefectures:

[TABLE=full]
[TR]
[TH][/TH]

[TH]09/06 (Wed)[/TH]
[TH]10/06 (Thu)[/TH]
[TH]11/06 (Fri)[/TH]
[TH]12/06 (Sat)[/TH]
[TH]13/06 (Son)[/TH]
[TH]14/06 (Mon)[/TH]
[TH]15/06 (Tue)[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Aichi
[/TD]

[TD]
247 (- 40)
[/TD]

[TD]
171 (- 117)
[/TD]

[TD]
149 (- 117)
[/TD]

[TD]
123 (- 95)
[/TD]

[TD]
102 (- 67)
[/TD]

[TD]
46 (- 51)
[/TD]

[TD]
98 (- 72)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Chiba
[/TD]

[TD]
106 (- 3)
[/TD]

[TD]
102 (+ 3)
[/TD]

[TD]
113 (- 8)
[/TD]

[TD]
79 (- 21)
[/TD]

[TD]
105 (+ 16)
[/TD]

[TD]
91 (+ 23)
[/TD]

[TD]
87 (+ 6)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Fukuoka
[/TD]

[TD]
66 (- 50)
[/TD]

[TD]
42 (- 60)
[/TD]

[TD]
58 (- 21)
[/TD]

[TD]
47 (- 38)
[/TD]

[TD]
37 (- 42)
[/TD]

[TD]
23 (- 4)
[/TD]

[TD]
35 (- 22)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Hokkaido
[/TD]

[TD]
179 (- 138)
[/TD]

[TD]
182 (- 118)
[/TD]

[TD]
145 (- 58)
[/TD]

[TD]
125 (+ 44)
[/TD]

[TD]
82 (- 101)
[/TD]

[TD]
74 (- 73)
[/TD]

[TD]
87 (- 33)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Hyogo
[/TD]

[TD]
64 (- 40)
[/TD]

[TD]
50 (- 20)
[/TD]

[TD]
46 (- 29)
[/TD]

[TD]
38 (- 59)
[/TD]

[TD]
24 (- 34)
[/TD]

[TD]
21 (- 1)
[/TD]

[TD]
44 (- 24)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Kanagawa
[/TD]

[TD]
202 (- 16)
[/TD]

[TD]
189 (- 26)
[/TD]

[TD]
220 (- 14)
[/TD]

[TD]
247 (+ 23)
[/TD]

[TD]
170 (- 79)
[/TD]

[TD]
141 (- 32)
[/TD]

[TD]
160 (- 19)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Okinawa
[/TD]

[TD]
174 (- 123)
[/TD]

[TD]
166 (- 78)
[/TD]

[TD]
145 (- 102)
[/TD]

[TD]
157 (- 104)
[/TD]

[TD]
104 (- 79)
[/TD]

[TD]
54 (- 50)
[/TD]

[TD]
104 (- 55)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Osaka
[/TD]

[TD]
153 (- 60)
[/TD]

[TD]
148 (- 78)
[/TD]

[TD]
134 (- 55)
[/TD]

[TD]
126 (- 48)
[/TD]

[TD]
96 (- 49)
[/TD]

[TD]
57 (- 15)
[/TD]

[TD]
110 (- 80)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Saitama
[/TD]

[TD]
121 (- 11)
[/TD]

[TD]
110 (- 12)
[/TD]

[TD]
87 (- 15)
[/TD]

[TD]
83 (- 36)
[/TD]

[TD]
65 (- 16)
[/TD]

[TD]
41 (- 3)
[/TD]

[TD]
70 (- 13)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
Tokyo
[/TD]

[TD]
440 (- 47)
[/TD]

[TD]
439 (- 69)
[/TD]

[TD]
435 (- 37)
[/TD]

[TD]
467 (+ 31)
[/TD]

[TD]
304 (- 47)
[/TD]

[TD]
209 (- 26)
[/TD]

[TD]
337 (- 32)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Vaccinations as of 12/06/2021:

First dose: 15.9m (39.07%)
Second dose: 5.47m (13.4%)



In other news: some municipalities will start vaccinating people under 65 tomorrow, Thursday.



This is the coupon distribution schedule for Kawasaki:

 
The state of emergency is being downgraded to a quasi-state of emergency throughout the affected prefectures of Japan from June 21 to July 11, except in Okinawa. In practice, this means we can be served alcohol until 7pm in cafes and bars instead of not at all. I'm still at a loss to know how this will make any difference. The recent falls in the number of new cases in Tokyo seem to have levelled off, with more cases being reported today and yesterday than the corresponding days a week ago.

 
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