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COVID-19 Coronavirus: situation in Japan

Properly-fitted. But how does it compare to other situations?


BTW this report supports double-masking.

Wearing a tight-fitting surgical mask, or doubling up on masks, can significantly reduce COVID-19 transmission and slow the spread of new, more contagious strains, according to a CDC report released Wednesday.

Researchers found that if two people are both wearing surgical masks that are knotted and tucked flush to the face -- or if both are wearing a cloth mask over a surgical mask -- exposure to viral particles is cut by more than 95%.

"The data in this report underscore the finding that good fit can increase overall mask efficiency," the authors wrote. "Multiple simple ways to improve fit have been demonstrated to be effective."

A "simulated breathing experiment" shows surgical masks on their own block 42% of COVID-19 particles for the wearer, and cloth masks block about 44% of particles. Wearing a cloth mask over a surgical mask increased protection for the person wearing the masks, blocking 83% of small particles.
 
It sure is getting a bit confusing these days.
 
It sure is getting a bit confusing these days.
The CDC seems a lot less confusing to me these days. Since they were able to return to being data based, rather than political ideology based, they've been consistent in their messages.
 
Has anyone bought the N95 mask.
Seems like I might be on a plane soon and wondering if I should buy one. Personally I think I should. The flight is less then 2 hours long.
 
I had two brand new ones when all this started. I found it super hard to breath through it. For under an hour , it was bearable , but long term , very uncomfortable. I'm a firm believer in hand washing and not touching the face at all keeps me safe. Also , there are a lot of fake N95's out there now for sale so finding real ones requires diligence.
 
Last week's numbers:


Nationwide infections:

03/03 (Wed)04/03 (Thu)05/03 (Fri)06/03 (Sat)07/03 (Son)08/03 (Mon)09/03 (Tue)
1,244​
1,170​
1,149​
1,054​
1,065​
600​
1,128​
[/CENTER]

Nationwide deaths - Seriously Ill:

03/03 (Wed)04/03 (Thu)05/03 (Fri)06/03 (Sat)07/03 (Son)08/03 (Mon)09/03 (Tue)
51 - 407​
68 - 398​
67 - 388​
59 - 373​
49 - 511​
26 - 380​
58 - 381​


Infections in selected prefectures:

03/03 (Wed)04/03 (Thu)05/03 (Fri)06/03 (Sat)07/03 (Son)08/03 (Mon)09/03 (Tue)
Tokyo
316​
279​
301​
293​
237​
116​
290​
Osaka
98​
81​
74​
82​
76​
38​
103​
Hokkaido
60​
66​
64​
47​
84​
63​
63​
Aichi
55​
68​
50​
35​
27​
8​
39​
Kanagawa
139​
138​
131​
113​
119​
59​
100​
Chiba
164​
107​
137​
109​
113​
73​
82​
Saitama
98​
123​
90​
114​
123​
65​
106​
Hyogo
40​
21​
36​
15​
41​
9​
41​
Okinawa
18​
28​
14​
29​
18​
7​
23​


As mentioned earlier, the government has extended the State of Emergency in Tokyo, Kanagawa, Saitama, and Chiba.




Uji-Tokushukai Medical Center in Uji, Kyoto Prefecture, reported that syringes usually used for diabetes patients can be used for 7 shots of the COVID-19 vaccine. The bureaucrats are cautious, however.



A coronavirus cluster has been reported at the Tokyo Regional Immigration Bureau's detention centre. Forty per cent of the detainees and a few staff members tested positive for the coronavirus.



Japanese pharmaceutical companies have fallen behind other nations in the development of COVID-19 medicine:


 
Another trend is that the drop in the number of cases has levelled off in Kanto.
 
I'm fully ready to take a vaccine and get back to something resembling normal. This has been a difficult year, fluctuating between counting my lucky stars that things never got too bad here or for me personally, and realizing how I've just gone stir crazy at home. In the summer, I went on a long bike ride a few times a week to stay sane, but winter has been really long. And there haven't been any of the usual events to break up the monotony.

Between the vaccine and the coming sunny weather, I feel optimistic, but my daily life isn't there yet.
 
While several European countries suspended AstraZeneca vaccinations, the Japanese pharmaceutical Daichi-Sankyo started producing the British vaccine in Saitama.



Meanwhile, it's been ruled out that Japanese athletes will receive Chinese vaccines before the Tokyo Olympic Games:


However, Japan will receive 100 million doses of the Phizer vaccine by June.


 
A belated update on the weekly numbers. Sadly, Tokyo again exceeded 400 cases of new infections today.


Nationwide infections:

10/03 (Wed)11/03 (Thu)12/03 (Fri)13/03 (Sat)14/03 (Son)15/03 (Mon)16/03 (Tue)
1,316​
1,319​
1,271​
1,320​
989​
695​
1,134​

Nationwide deaths - Seriously Ill:

10/03 (Wed)11/03 (Thu)12/03 (Fri)13/03 (Sat)14/03 (Son)15/03 (Mon)16/03 (Tue)
54 - 364​
49 - 354​
49 - 354​
58 - 337​
51 - 328​
30 - 327​
32 - 337​

Infections in selected prefectures:

10/03 (Wed)11/03 (Thu)12/03 (Fri)13/03 (Sat)14/03 (Son)15/03 (Mon)16/03 (Tue)
Tokyo
340​
335​
304​
330​
239​
175​
300​
Osaka
84​
88​
111​
120​
92​
67​
86​
Hokkaido
65​
71​
53​
58​
45​
63​
69​
Aichi
44​
66​
52​
55​
24​
54​
30​
Kanagawa
124​
125​
107​
95​
109​
55​
91​
Chiba
106​
107​
105​
129​
106​
76​
76​
Saitama
135​
126​
155​
183​
77​
72​
96​
Hyogo
41​
58​
49​
54​
38​
33​
78​
Okinawa
28​
29​
38​
30​
23​
16​
28​


It is expected that the SoE will be lifted in Tokyo, Kanagawa, Chiba, and Saitama next Monday.



Another concern are new coronavirus mutations. Between 5 and 9 March, 77 cases of mutated strains have been confirmed in seven prefectures: 50 in Osaka, 10 in Kyoto, 7 in Kanagawa and 7 in Hiroshima, and 1 each in Saitama, Niigata, and Hyogo.


Kanagawa reported the first two deaths caused by variant strains of the coronavirus:

 
All the daily numbers are actual daily numbers? In my U.S. community they use 7-day daily average because we also have the same reporting spikes due to weekends, etc.
As you can see, they got a lot better at figuring out how to treat it after the initial outbreak. "Only" about one person/day is dying now. (This is a community of about 1.25M)

 
I know that the SoE was half-hearted at the best of times, but the government deciding to lift it is sending a massive signal that things are OK when they are not. Even if hospitals are under less pressure than a month ago, pressure on hospitals always lags behind the number of cases, which isnow rising. Japan should have learned from other countries and had a shorter and stricter SoE at the start of the year. The Covid policy in Japan now seems to be to cross your fingers and hope.
 
Last edited:
Well I think sadly the day has to come that we just have to thank whatever the risk are we got open the the front door of our house leave it and be responsible and enjoy life cuz that's what it's going to come down to
If you check flight 24. Com for China Airlines in the sky it is jam-packed so apparently China's got their act together and people are flying if there's no tomorrow in China
 
Looking at that site, there's plenty of air travel going on across the whole world not just China.
 
Looking at that site, there's plenty of air travel going on across the whole world not just China.

I haven't checked the numbers but I'm sure that global passenger numbers have significantly decreased. A lot of carriers have switched to hauling cargo and mail.

Back on topic: a little reminder of Mr Omi, the "Japanese Fauci", that we are still far away from normalization:

 
Given the int'l mail hassles and restrictions I've read about, that's kind of hard to understand.
Actually, the mail between the UK and Japan has run like clockwork over the last few months! The birthday presents and cards I was sent last month all arrived on time, sometimes within a few days of being sent.
 
The past week's numbers, as always. SoE or not, no respite in sight.


Nationwide infections:

17/03 (Wed)18/03 (Thu)19/03 (Fri)20/03 (Sat)21/03 (Son)22/03 (Mon)23/03 (Tue)
1,535​
1,499​
1,464​
1,517​
1,119​
822​
1,503​

Nationwide deaths - Seriously Ill:

17/03 (Wed)18/03 (Thu)19/03 (Fri)20/03 (Sat)21/03 (Son)22/03 (Mon)23/03 (Tue)
56 - 335​
39 - 325​
41 - 330​
32 - 332​
22 - 324​
23 - 324​
26 - 320​

Infections in selected prefectures:

17/03 (Wed)18/03 (Thu)19/03 (Fri)20/03 (Sat)21/03 (Son)22/03 (Mon)23/03 (Tue)
Tokyo
409​
323​
303​
342​
239​
187​
337​
Osaka
147​
141​
158​
153​
100​
79​
183​
Hokkaido
73​
96​
78​
51​
60​
50​
42​
Aichi
48​
38​
47​
55​
34​
31​
63​
Kanagawa
93​
160​
111​
107​
77​
56​
72​
Chiba
91​
122​
129​
99​
88​
97​
74​
Saitama
132​
115​
135​
133​
79​
60​
136​
Hyogo
74​
76​
49​
64​
46​
23​
84​
Okinawa
35​
43​
44​
66​
24​
18​
75​


In other news:

Tokyo reported 420 infections today, while Miyagi Prefecture has recently seen a surge in cases and imposed restrictions in Sendai.



While the SoE ended last Sunday, the governors of Tokyo, Chiba, Kanagawa and Saitama prefectures agreed to ask establishments such as restaurants to close by 9 p.m. until 21 April.



Two-thirds of Japanese believe that the vaccine roll-out in Japan is slow. According to Nikkei, hope has turned into frustration.


 
I don't have any helpful suggestions unfortunately, but I don't think that shifting the closing times of restaurants and bars back and forth is really getting to the heart of the problem.
 
Just a little update on vaccinations in Japan (the topic came up in this thread):
  • vaccinations started on 17 February
  • the first group were healthcare workers
  • vaccinations for those over 65 years of age will start in the second half of April
  • the proportions of vaccinations are Japan is much smaller than those in other OECD nations (that includes countries with lower rates of infection than Japan, such as South Korea, Australia, and New Zealand; surprisingly, it is also lower compared to nations like India, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Indonesia).
As of last week, 350,000 healthcare workers were vaccinated. See the daily numbers below; it is obvious that the daily count is plummeting (from about 70,000 daily to 33,000 yesterday) and increasing to 47,000 today:

 
Japan is bracing for the fourth wave, and the hanami season with densely packed gardens and parks will likely contribute. Apart from clusters in Yamagata and Miyagi, the numbers of new cases in Osaka yesterday exceeded those in Tokyo.


 
The weekly updates with all numbers on the rise.


Nationwide infections:

24/03 (Wed)25/03 (Thu)26/03 (Fri)27/03 (Sat)28/03 (Son)29/03 (Mon)30/03 (Tue)
1,918​
1,917​
2,026​
2,073​
1,785​
1,345​
2,087​

Nationwide deaths - Seriously Ill:

24/03 (Wed)25/03 (Thu)26/03 (Fri)27/03 (Sat)28/03 (Son)29/03 (Mon)30/03 (Tue)
47 - 328​
30 - 325​
29 - 323​
31 - 331​
32 - 341​
29 - 342​
25 - 368​

Infections in selected prefectures:

24/03 (Wed)25/03 (Thu)26/03 (Fri)27/03 (Sat)28/03 (Son)29/03 (Mon)30/03 (Tue)
Tokyo
420​
394​
376​
430​
313​
234​
364​
Osaka
262​
266​
300​
386​
323​
213​
432​
Hokkaido
81​
67​
69​
62​
74​
46​
56​
Aichi
74​
79​
64​
58​
86​
39​
56​
Kanagawa
128​
121​
117​
102​
64​
93​
96​
Chiba
108​
98​
135​
99​
92​
110​
81​
Saitama
121​
113​
135​
97​
114​
102​
107​
Hyogo
118​
100​
116​
164​
93​
70​
176​
Okinawa
68​
77​
89​
98​
68​
42​
87​



Today, Osaka eclipsed Tokyo (599 vs 414 new cases) which some blame on the fast spread of new virus variants in Western Japan; new clusters reported in Yamagata, Tottori, and Ehime.



 
Hi all, I work in epidemiology and disease modelling and have been involved in some work on European COVID data over the past 8 months or so. The short summary of that is that the various national data sets are a massive mess and pretty much incomparable.

Out of personal interest I have a few specific questions about how various aspects of Japan's testing regime are carried out. Considering Japan's rate of testing remains extremely low compared to Europe and the USA what are the criteria for receiving a test currently in Japan? Do all/any Japanese prefectures pool tests? What is the PCR protocol in Japan? Is it centrally set or can individual providers tailor their own? What is the criteria for a COVID death in Japan? What PCR primers are currently used?

Any pointers are much appreciated - even just links etc (Japanese language is fine). Also! If you don't think any of this information is publicly available, that's appreciated too.
 
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